Election live results: Donald Trump projected to win presidency

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Republican Derrick Van Orden to continue to hold his seat in Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional district.

NewsNation was the first outlet to call the race in Pennsylvania for Donald Trump and as a result, was also able to call the race to the White House for Trump, immediately after.

Scott Tranter, the director of data science at Decision Desk HQ, joined NewsNation to discuss how Decision Desk HQ called the presidential election.

“VP Harris knew what she needed to do, but Donald Trump just got a few more votes where he needed to. And that made the call pretty clear right around 1 a.m. this morning,” Tranter said. “It looks like Trump potentially got some new voters out who don’t normally vote in this election.”

NewsNation’s race call partner has issued a statement on how this call was made. Read the full statement below.

How we made this race call:

We deeply value information-sharing and transparency so the public knows they can trust our results. At the time of this race call, 93% of the vote in Pennsylvania was in – including mail-in ballots and Election Day votes. The data showed:

• In Philadelphia County and collar counties, including Bucks County, Montgomery County, and Chester County, President Trump was over-performing his 2020 results by more than 5% in each county.
• President Trump was over-performing his 2020 results in rural counties across Pennsylvania by more than 10%.
• Despite matching President Joe Biden’s 2020 margin in the Pittsburgh area and surrounding Allegheny County, Vice President Kamala Harris’s vote percentages were insufficient to overcome former President Trump’s gains elsewhere across the state.
• Bellwether counties, including Erie County, Centre County, and Monroe County, all went for President Biden in 2020, but flipped to President Trump in 2024.

Decision Desk HQ has more than a decade-long track record of making accurate, independent, and transparent race calls – including our calls for President in 2016 and 2020 – and we have continued that record in this election cycle. Ahead of the election, ours was the only major forecasting model to accurately predict this election’s result. Before making any race calls, we deploy our peer-reviewed model to assist in our analysis and review the calls with our Director of Data Science and team of election analysts. We will not call a race until it meets all of our requirements. Ultimately, when making our race calls in 2024 as in previous cycles, we followed the data and our accurate prediction models and reached the same conclusion as the election results.

NewsNation’s Tulsi Kamath contributed to this report.

Speaking to supporters shortly after he was projected to win the presidency, Donald Trump said, “This was a movement like nobody’s ever seen before.”

Joined on stage by friends, family and allies like UFC CEO Dana White and professional golfer Bryson DeChambeau, Trump praised his projected reelection as “the greatest political movement of all time.”

“There’s never been anything like this in this country and maybe beyond, and now, it’s going to reach a new level of importance because we’re going to help our country heal,” Trump said.

Trump’s running mate, JD Vance, called the former president’s win the greatest political comeback “in the history of the United States of America.”

NewsNation’s Jeff Arnold contributed to this report.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Vice President Kamala Harris to win Minnesota‘s 10 electoral votes.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ has projected Vice President Kamala Harris to win the electoral vote of Nebraska‘s 2nd Congressional District.

Trump has already picked up two of the state’s five votes, and the remaining two will go to the state’s overall winner.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting a measure protecting abortion until fetal viability will pass in Nevada.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting former President Donald Trump to win Wisconsin‘s 10 electoral votes.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Republican Tom Barrett to win Michigan‘s 7th House district.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ projects Republican Jen Kiggans to continue to hold her seat representing Virginia‘s 2nd House district.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Democrat Gabriel Vasquez will continue to represent New Mexico‘s 2nd House district.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ projects former President Donald Trump has won a second term as president after carrying Pennsylvania.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting former President Donald Trump to win Pennsylvania, picking up 19 Electoral College votes.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Republican Spencer Cox to retain his position as governor of Utah.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Republican Zach Nunn will continue to represent Iowa‘s 3rd House district.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting former President Donald Trump to win Alaska‘s three electoral votes.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Democrat Donald Davis will continue to represent North Carolina‘s 1st House district.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Republican Mike Lawler will retain his seat representing New York‘s 17th House district.

Donald Trump has an 80% chance of flipping Wisconsin, NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting.

With more than 6 million votes reported, NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ projects Republican candidate Donald Trump has a 78% chance to win Pennsylvania.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Democrat Frank Mrvan will continue to represent Indiana‘s 1st House district.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Democrat Hillary Schloten will continue to represent Michigan‘s 3rd House district.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ projects Democrat Henry Cuellar to continue to represent Texas‘ 28th House district.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting a measure enacting constitutional protections for abortion before fetal viability will pass in Arizona.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting former President Donald Trump to win Nebraska‘s 1st Congressional District electoral vote.

Trump now has two of the state’s three electoral votes allotted to congressional districts. The remaining two votes will be allocated to the state’s overall winner.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Democrat Angie Craig will continue to hold her House seat in Minnesota’s 2nd District.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Democrat Amy Klobuchar to continue to represent Minnesota in the U.S. Senate.

Former first lady Melania Trump posted a photo on X of her and Donald Trump’s son, Barron, voting for the first time “for his dad!”

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Vice President Kamala Harris to win New Mexico, picking up five electoral votes.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Sen. Mazie Hirono will continue to represent Hawaii in the U.S. Senate.

NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ is projecting Vice President Kamala Harris to win Hawaii’s four electoral votes.